Since 2004 my system is 556-667, which doesn’t sound that great, however, with an average line of (+138.9) wagering on every club in this situation would have resulted in a return on investment (ROI) of +7.6%. Teams that fall into this situation are normally strong on defense and have a solid bullpen, which is exactly what you are looking for. Clubs which can succeed as an underdog without a strong offensive performance show they don’t need to score a lot of runs to win games. The key is to not simply pick underdogs who won their previous games, but to locate those who prevailed in their previous game as an underdog by scoring 3 runs or less. Teams who are coming off a win tend to play with more confidence, and there are some handicappers out there who will only bet on a team if they won the previous day. Our low-scoring pick system relies heavily on ‘dogs who just won in a previous day’s outing. Winning Baseball Bet – Underdogs off a Low-Scoring Win A $1000 better who went 25-25 on clubs whose lines averaged out at (+130) would be up $7,500! That is just a 50-game sample size, so just imagine how you could clean up over the course of a full season. For example, if you bet on 50 ‘dogs with an average money line of (+130), you would have to go just 22-28 (44%) to show a profit.Ĭhances are with our underdog systems you are more likely to hit 50% of your bets. This is what makes picking the plus-line so popular among baseball bettors.

One thing to keep in mind when choosing ‘dogs is you are less likely to end up with an overall winning record. Here’s a look at 4 baseball betting systems for underdogs that I have found to work. While gamblers are likely to end up spinning their wheels by betting every ‘dog, there are numerous underdog betting systems that can lead to nice profits. But years of research have shown that simply picking every high-flying favorite will lead to a bigger loss at the end of the season than if you were to bet every ‘dog. The extremely long season and countless games without a day off lead to a lot of winning and losing streaks, crucial to track.

It can be especially true when handicapping baseball. The public likes to side with the favorite, but more often than not, value lies in the underdog.

Baseball moneyline parlay system